Benevolent strategic indifference and group strategy
equilibria:
Minimal Defense and Truncation Resistance as criteria
for voting rules
Stephen Eppley <seppley@alumni.caltech.edu>
Revised: February 21, 2003
Abstract
This paper presents two
criteria, minimal defense and truncation resistance, that are
failed by most voting rules, and argues it is important they be satisfied.
In particular,
satisfaction of minimal defense makes it easier for voters to reach desirable
equilibria
by making unnecessary "compromising" strategies (which
voters are loathe to employ
since they want to express preferences for their favorite alternatives
and they dislike
compromising unnecessarily). A benefit is reducing the
cost of majority coordination.
A related benefit in partisan elections is that political parties may
at last have a net
positive incentive to nominate more than one candidate per office since
the risk of
fratricide is reduced; elections can be reduced to a single stage (no primary elections).
Two voting rules which
satisfy both criteria (and many other desirable criteria) are
briefly described, Maximize Affirmed Majorities (MAM) and PathWinner. (A
detailed
description of MAM and proofs of its criteria compliance are provided
elsewhere.)
Introduction
Some of the social choice literature has warned that even "nice"
voting scenarios having
a Condorcet winner (Condorcet [1785])
are manipulable. For instance, Shepsle
and
Bonchek [1997] noted that in the case of three voters and three
alternatives, 12 of the 216
possible combinations of voters' strict orderings produce cyclic
majorities. They went on
to write [p.68]:
The Rationality assumption is violated on some
occasions. Perhaps [...] we are
overreacting to this problem. The doubtful reader might say, "Sure,
coherence and
fairness in preference aggregation cannot be guaranteed, but perhaps
this conflict
only arises occasionally. Nothing is perfect, after
all." This is an overly optimistic
view. The very fact that some social situations
produce either incoherence or
unfairness means that it will be possible for
clever, manipulative, strategic,
individuals to exploit this fact.
By exploitation, Shepsle and Bonchek mean voting strategies (and
perhaps nomination
strategies) which produce an outcome more preferred by the strategizers
than if they
straightforwardly vote their sincere preferences, such as in the
following scenario:
Scenario 1: Voters' preferences regarding alternatives x, y and z:
| 46% | 10% | 10% | 34% |
| x | y | y | z |
| y | x | z | y |
| z | z | x | x |
Alternative y is a "sincere" Condorcet winner given these
preferences since a majority
(54%) prefer y over x and a majority (66%) prefer y over z.
But if the 46% who prefer
x over y over z are clever and manipulative, they may vote
"x over z over y" since then
x would be elected under most voting rules (assuming the other voters
naively vote their
sincere orders of preference). The scenario is highly simplified, having
single-peaked
preferences over a
linear
spectrum in which y is between x and z. (This is evident
since
y is not the least
preferred alternative of any voter.) It will become apparent later that
generality is
not lost by neglecting voters who may have "x over z over y" preferences
or
"z over x over y" preferences.
In this document, we argue that the existence of voting procedures which
satisfy the
minimal defense and truncation resistance criteria (to be described below)
suggests
their view is overly pessimistic, because satisfaction of these criteria means
the other
voters can deter or thwart such attempts at manipulation without having to
compromise.
(Minimal defense, non-drastic defense and truncation resistance are refinements of
three criteria proposed by Mike
Ossipoff [1995].) The pessimism of so many writers
may be due to an erroneous belief that, since it is reasonable to make the
simplifying
assumption that voters' preferences are strict orderings, one may neglect the
possibility
that voters may have incentives to vote non-strict orderings and that such
strategies may
benefit society. For an example of this oversimplification see Hervé
Moulin [1988],
who defined voting rules as mappings from strict orderings of the alternatives.
To clarify the motivation behind the criteria, suppose scenario 1
describes a large public
election, and that in advance of the election the voters and candidates
have incomplete
information about what the
voters' preferences will be on election day. Suppose it
appears likely that
y
will be the Condorcet winner given voters' sincere preferences,
but y, being a centrist in a diverse society, will not be the first choice of a
majority.
Additionally suppose it is less clear which of x or z will have more support on election
day: perhaps more voters will prefer z to x than vice
versa, and perhaps not.
The following definitions may help to illuminate the discussion:
Offensive strategy: a group voting strategy intended to produce an election
outcome more preferred by every member of that group than the outcome
which would result if everyone voted sincerely. Such strategies, when
successfully employed, are considered manipulations of the outcome.Defensive strategy: a group voting strategy intended to deter or thwart
other groups' offensive strategies.Compromise: a voting strategy in which an alternative is voted equal to or
over a more preferred alternative to avoid the election of an alternative which
is less preferred than both. (Compromise may be offensive or defensive.)
The outcome of elections may hinge on coordination of group
strategy. Since coordination
is difficult and expensive in large public elections,
particularly if
strategy may need to be
adjusted shortly before the election in response to other groups'
strategizing, it is important
for y's camp to be able to publicize a defensive strategy well
in advance of the election
which will be stable no matter how other groups
respond. If this defensive strategy requires
voters who prefer another
candidate more than y to compromise by ranking y equal to or
over their more
preferred candidate, it will be difficult to coordinate, particularly since
those voters, lacking complete information, may not be convinced compromise
is necessary
and would dislike
compromising unnecessarily. Thus we seek a group strategy equilibrium
which does
not require compromise. (Ideally the equilibrium should involve minimal
misrepresentation of preferences.)
Section 1 discusses the minimal defense criterion and shows how
its satisfaction can lead
to desirable equilibria. Section 1 also defines the non-drastic defense criterion. Section 2
discusses the truncation resistance criterion.
Section 3 discusses the larger majority
criterion, whose satisfaction implies satisfaction of minimal defense, non-drastic
defense
and truncation resistance (assuming voters are permitted to vote non-strict orderings).
Section 4 describes some voting rules which satisfy these and
other desirable criteria.
Section 5 provides concluding remarks.
1. Minimal Defense criterion
If
the voters rank all alternatives in order of their sincere preferences in scenario
1, most
voting rules prominent in the literature choose y. (The Instant Runoff rule, also known as
Hare and Single Transferable Vote and other names, is a notable exception.)
Borda chooses y.
Simpson chooses y.
Copeland (assuming plurality tie-breaker) chooses y.
Instant Runoff (Hare, Single Transferable Vote, Alternative Vote) chooses x.
Tideman's "ranked pairs" rule chooses y.(Definitions of these voting rules are included in Tideman [1987].
Zavist, Tideman [1989] provides an updated version of Tideman's rule.)
Despite the niceness of the scenario, it is not a group strategy
equilibrium under any
prominent democratic voting rule for all voters to rank the alternatives in
their sincere
orders of preference (abbreviated "sincere ranking"). To be more
specific, x would be
elected if enough supporters of x vote
"x over z over y" and the other voters vote sincerely,
under most voting rules. (Also, sincere ranking is not a group strategy equilibrium under
Instant Runoff, since y would be chosen instead of x
if the 34% having "z over y over x"
preferences compromise by voting "y
over z over x" and they have an incentive to do so
since they prefer y over x.)
Example 1a: Offensive reversal strategy employed by some of x's supporters
23% 23% 10% 10% 34% x x y y z y z x z y z y z x x
(Many supporters of x misrepresent their "y over z" preference by voting "z over y.")
Borda chooses x.
Simpson chooses x.
Copeland (assuming plurality tie-breaker) chooses x.
Instant Runoff (Hare, Single Transferable Vote, Alternative Vote) chooses x.
Tideman's "ranked pairs" rule chooses x.Clearly there is an incentive for x's supporters to misrepresent their "y over z"
preference as shown, under the voting rules listed here.
It is of course possible for z's supporters to employ a compromise
strategy, ranking y
equal to
or over z, to ensure x cannot win. That would be a group strategy
equilibrium
since no group would have an incentive to deviate given knowledge of
others' strategies.
But z's supporters may lack enough information to be certain z cannot
win. For instance,
if z is more popular than
x on election
day, then z could win if z's supporters employ
some non-compromising strategy. Also there is a chance z will be the sincere winner
on election day. Furthermore, z's
supporters may be reluctant to misrepresent their
preference for z over y due to long term
thinking. Thus it may be difficult to convince
z's supporters of the need for compromise. But this does not mean
no voting rule has
desirable group strategy equilibria achievable without compromise. This motivates the
following
criterion, presented with two nearly equivalent wordings:
Minimal Defense: For all subsets X of the alternatives, if there exists an
alternative y that more than half the voters prefer over every alternative in X,
then there must exist a set of voting strategies for that majority that ensures
no alternative in X will be elected and does not require any of them to
misrepresent any preferences except possibly lowering alternatives in X.A nearly equivalent wording of minimal defense:
Each voter must be permitted to vote any (non-strict) ordering of the
alternatives, and for all alternatives x, x must not be elected if there is
an alternative y such that the number of voters who rank both y over x
and x no higher than tied for bottom exceeds the number of voters
who rank x higher than tied for bottom.
Assuming the voting procedure satisfies minimal defense, x will be
defeated if
the 54% who prefer y over x in scenario 1 vote as follows:
| 46% | 10% | 10% | 34% |
| ? | y | y | z |
| ? | x,z | z | y |
| ? | x | x |
(The votes of the 46%
who favor x are not shown, to indicate that x will be
defeated no matter how they vote, assuming minimal defense is satisfied.)
Note that only 10% need to misrepresent any preferences (by
lowering x to tied with z for
bottom) to ensure x is
defeated, and that z's supporters can express their preference for z
over y rather than compromising.
The criterion is named "minimal defense" because it allows the voters to express their
sincere preferences for
their favored alternatives. They won't be compelled to pretend
to prefer
a compromise alternative, and thus won't accidentally compromise unnecessarily
when unsure
about the support by other voters for their favored alternatives.
The clause about not lowering x below a tie for bottom has three consequences:
1) The strategy can simultaneously be employed by more than one majority to defeat more
than one alternative, which would not be the case if the strategy required a unique bottom
alternative. For instance, the other 10%, who prefer y
over z over x, can downrank z to
tied with x for bottom, in order to defeat z.
2) Downranking x below a less preferred alternative could create a strategic opportunity for
supporters of the less preferred alternative, an opportunity which will not become available
if x is downranked to tied with the least preferred alterative. For instance, if the 10% needed
to downrank x below z instead of to tied with z at the bottom, this
could create a strategic
opportunity for z's supporters to
elect z, particularly if there is uncertainty about the expected
percentages on election day, and thus might not be an equilibrium.
3) It is less misrepresentative to downrank x to tied with one's least preferred alternative
than to downrank x below one's least preferred alternative.
Ossipoff's wording, which he named the strong defensive
strategy criterion (SDSC),
said that when more than half the voters prefer some alternative y over x,
there must exist
a voting strategy that ensures x will not be chosen and doesn't require them to vote y
equal to or over any alternative preferred over y.
(In other words, they must never
need to use a compromise strategy to defeat x.) SDSC unfortunately fails to capture
the requirement that the voters must
not have to lower x below a tie for bottom,
thereby allowing some voting
rules which fail minimal defense and lack the desired
equilibrium to satisfy SDSC.
Another application of the "minimal defense" voting strategy is by
sophisticated legislators
whose strategic behavior may be constrained by accountability
to unsophisticated constituents.
More drastic misrepresentation (i.e., ranking
a compromise alternative equal
to or over a
more preferred alternative) may not be accepted by strategically
unsophisticated constituents.
In section 4 it is shown that it is possible to satisfy minimal
defense (and non-drastic
defense, defined below, and truncation resistance, defined in section 2) along with
many widely
accepted criteria such as Condorcet-consistency, top cycle, Pareto,
monotonicity, resolvability, independence of clone
alternatives, etc. Thus one
may dodge some questions about whether certain other criteria are more important
than minimal defense, as long as one is persuaded that satisfaction of minimal
defense
is desirable.
Elsewhere we argue that criteria inconsistent with minimal
defense etc.,
such as reinforcement and participation (satisfied by the Borda voting rule), are
much less important.
In scenario 1, candidates x and z are covered by the premise
of minimal defense since
for each of them there is a candidate (y) preferred by more than half the
voters.
Candidate y is not covered by the premise since no candidate is preferred over y by
more than half the voters. Looking first at x, satisfaction of
minimal defense requires
there be a way for the 54% who prefer y over x to ensure x's defeat, without
misrepresentating except by downranking x, and without having to downrank x
below their least preferred candidates. Of that 54%, only the
10% who have
"y over x over z" preferences do not already
consider x least preferred, so only two
sets of strategies for the 54% are acceptable to the criterion: (1) sincere ranking,
or
(2) some of those 10% vote "y over x ~ z". (The '~' symbol
indicates indifference.)
However, under
many prominent voting rules, x is elected given either of these strategies
if supporters of x vote "x over z over y" (misrepresenting their "y
over z" preference):
Example 1b: Defensive downranking of x by some of the "y over x" majority
23% 23% 10% 10% 34% x x y y z y z x,z z y z y x x
(Many of x's supporters are misrepresenting their "y over z" preference by voting
"z over y." Some of y's supporters misrepresent their "x over z" preference by
voting indifference between x and z. More than half the voters (54%) are voting
y over x and x no better than tied for bottom.)Borda chooses x.
Simpson chooses x.
Copeland (assuming plurality tie-breaker) chooses x.
Instant Runoff (Hare, STV, Alternative Vote) chooses x.
Tideman's "ranked pairs" rule chooses x.Examples 1a and 1b show that the listed voting rules fail minimal defense since
they choose x with either of the strategies allowable by the criterion.
The minimal defense criterion does not require that y be elected whenever the minimal
defensive strategy is employed. It suffices for us that y be
elected at equilibrium when
the minimal defensive strategy is employed. Since x cannot win assuming satisfaction
of
minimal defense, the best response to the minimal defensive strategy for x's
supporters is
to vote sincerely rather than elect their least preferred choice z.
This best response is part
of a group strategy equilibrium in which y is elected.
A similar argument can be constructed showing that if the 10% who have "y over z over x"
preferences downrank z to tied for bottom, the best
response for z's supporters is to vote
sincerely. Thus the following is a
group strategy equilibrium in scenario 1 under a voting
rule that satisfies minimal defense, and the only misrepresentation of preferences is the
defensive downranking by y's supporters:
Example 1c: Equilibrium elects y assuming satisfaction of minimal defense
46% 20% 34% x y z y x,z y z x
The 20% whose favorite is y have voted the others tied for bottom. Thus more
than half (54%) have voted y over x and x no better than tied for bottom, and
more than half (66%) have voted y over z and z no better than tied for bottom.
The 46% who favor x cannot vote in a way which elects x given the strategies
of the others, so they have no strategy better than their sincere orders of preference.
The 34% who favor z cannot vote in a way which elects z given the strategies
of the others, so they have no strategy better than their sincere orders of preference.)
Since the minimal defensive strategy does not change the outcome from what it
would be
given all sincere voting, it should not be considered manipulative.
Furthermore, it deters
manipulation of the outcome. Because this strategy does not require
compromise, it is
relatively easy to coordinate. Thus one can argue that if the voting
rule satisfies minimal
defense then this scenario should not be considered manipulable, and Shepsle, Bonchek
et al are overly pessimistic.
Implicit in our argument is the assumption that if x's
supporters are sufficiently clever and
manipulative that they would consider attempting an offensive reversal strategy, then enough
of the
other voters will also be sufficiently sophisticated to consider the defensive
strategy.
Part of y's overall campaign strategy could be to publicize
the defensive voting
strategy.
As example 1c shows, multiple majority coalitions can simultaneously employ the minimal
defensive strategy since no candidate need be downranked to strictly
last. The minimal
defensive strategy simultaneously deters reversal by both the x and z camps, and can be
coordinated publicly before collecting
precise polling data regarding the sizes of the
respective wings. The
strategy need not be kept secret from other camps (which would
presumably be difficult anyway). On the contrary, the strategy benefits from being widely
publicized since
it deters others from attempting manipulation.
There is potentially a game of chicken since the x faction may threaten to go
ahead with
their reversal come what may, which would elect z, the least preferred
alternative of both
the x faction and the "y
over x over z" faction. Though it is possible the
"y over x over z"
faction will concede this game, settling for
x rather than their least preferred alternative,
it seems
reasonable to expect in practice that enough factors will be on y's side and the
x faction will concede the game. For one thing, since y is the "sincere"
winner, y has the
moral high ground. Second, analysis of utility
differences suggests that if y is "between"
x and z, the
x faction has
more to lose than the y faction if z is elected, so their threat in
the chicken game is not much
more credible than the threat of a compact
car versus an
SUV in the
classic chicken game. Third, there are other more drastic defensive strategies
that can defeat x if the "y over x over z" faction chickens out: z's supporters may
compromise in y's favor, or z may withdraw herself from
contention. So one suspects
that efforts to organize reversal strategies would not become prevalent in society and
could eventually die out. If
threats of reversal do indeed die out, then satisfaction of
truncation resistance (see section 3) means defensive strategy would
rarely
need to
be employed.
Another possible defensive strategy to examine is for the 10% who have "y
over x over z"
preferences to downrank x below their least preferred alternative z (i.e.,
voting "y over z
over x"). This strategy is considered less
minimal than the minimal defensive strategy since
it entails greater misrepresentation of preferences. Also, this would
create an
opportunity
for the z faction to reverse their "y over x" preference and steal the election for z, the least
preferred alternative of the "less
minimal" defenders. It would exacerbate the coordination
problem for y's supporters if they need to change strategies at the eleventh hour to
defend
against reversal by z's supporters instead of reversal by x's
supporters. Satisfaction of
minimal defense means the "y over z over x"
defensive strategy is unnecessary, so these
problems can be avoided.
Note that z's supporters need not misrepresent any preferences to help ensure x's defeat.
However, this may not be true in the more general case having more than 3
alternatives.
Given 4 or more alternatives,
x
might not be the least preferred choice of z's supporters,
so z's supporters who prefer y over x might also be called upon to downrank x to tied
with some less preferred alternative w. But this still leaves them free to
express their
preference for their favorite z over the compromise y, which
seems to be important for
voters. Thus z's supporters never need
to employ a "compromise" strategy -- they do
not need to
insincerely rank their "compromise" candidate (y) equal to or
over a favorite
candidate (z). In case voters are mistaken about others' preferences and z is actually
more popular on election day than
expected, z's supporters would not be accidentally
compromising further than necessary. (Fear of compromising more than
necessary
makes compromise strategies difficult to coordinate, so voting rules
that force voters to
use compromise strategies may not work
as well as those that satisfy minimal defense.)
Since z's supporters do not need to compromise, the number of voters who prefer z to y
can be more accurately counted. But if the voting rule does not satisfy
minimal defense
(which means y's supporters cannot defeat x using the minimal
defense strategy) and y's
supporters either cannot defeat x with
the "less minimal" strategy (ranking x below z,
strictly last) or cannot
coordinate to this less minimal strategy due to a concern about
creating an opportunity for reversal by z's supporters, then z's supporters, to ensure
x's
defeat, may feel compelled to rank y equal to z
("non-drastic" compromise), or, worse,
rank
y over z or vote only for y ("drastic" compromise), depending on the particular
voting rule. Understatement of z's support may harm society,
since it is
possible z is
actually best for society and that someday people will
realize this after reconsideration
of z's merits, but reconsideration may be aborted due to the mistaken impression that z
is very unpopular. Furthermore, if z cannot rely on her supporters to compromise
then z may be deterred from
competing, which could be a problem if voters' preferences
on election day are not as estimated and z is
really more popular than y and x, or if not
competing makes z seem less popular than in
reality. The flip side of this unfortunate coin
is that if z can rely on
her supporters to compromise, her incentive to compete may be
reduced
since she expects the voting will make it seem she is less popular than in
reality.
And of course there is the obvious problem that if z competes and her supporters do not
properly compromise, then x will be elected, a problem for society if x is inferior to
y
or if y is widely perceived as having a sincere mandate. (For instance, in the
presidential
election of 2000, Gore would have won had some Nader voters compromised.) A mirror
argument shows that the number who prefer x to y can also be more accurately counted
under a voting rule that satisfies minimal defense...
In the more general case where there are also some voters having
"x over z over y"
preferences and some having "z over x over y"
preferences, there would still be a group
strategy equilibrium which elects y
when y's supporters adopt the minimal defensive
strategy against both x and
z,
assuming y is the sincere Condorcet winner and the voting
rule satisfies minimal defense.
The second, nearly equivalent, wording of minimal defense is a
combination of a universal
domain criterion ("any ordering, strict or non-strict, of the alternatives must
be an admissible
vote") and a criterion that does not refer to strategies or sincere preferences.
Clearly, any
voting procedure that satisfies the second wording satisfies the first
wording. The first
wording more clearly expresses
the motivation of the criterion, indicating voters may freely
express their preferences for favorite alternatives over compromise alternatives.
The second
wording more clearly describes a
defensive strategy which deters offensive strategies, and it
is straightforward to adapt the second wording into a filter for any voting rule which admits
non-strict orderings to attain satisfaction of minimal defense, as described in section
4.4
(but not as robustly as the procedures described in sections 4.2 and
4.3).
The Approval voting rule (Brams, Fishburn (1978)) satisfies
the second part of the second
wording and allows expression of indifference, but it does not satisfy minimal
defense.
By violating the universal domain part of the
criterion, Approval often requires some of
a majority coalition to employ a
(non-drastic) compromise strategy by not expressing
their preferences for favorite alternatives over compromise alternatives in order to defeat
less preferred alternatives.
Approval satisfies the following weaker criterion:
Non-Drastic Defense: Each voter must be allowed to vote as
many
alternatives as s/he wishes tied for top, and if more than half of the voters
vote some alternative y (tied for) top, then no alternative voted below
y
by more than half of the voters may be chosen.
Some voting procedures accept voters' strict orderings of the
alternatives but do not allow
voters to express indifference between any alternatives. Such procedures fail
minimal
defense because they do not
allow voters to vote x tied for bottom, making the desired
group strategy equilibrium unattainable.
They fail non-drastic defense because they
do not allow voters to
vote a compromise alternative equal to their favorite alternative.
Thus they may require a "drastic compromise" defensive strategy in
which some voters
must rank a compromise alternative over their favorite alternative in order to
defeat
an alternative less preferred than both. The drastic compromise is
presumably the most
difficult defensive strategy to coordinate, which explains why political parties
avoid
nominating more than one candidate per office, yet under most voting rules the
drastic
compromise is the only reliable defensive strategy. Even the non-drastic
compromise
strategy available under Approval may be difficult to coordinate, which is why
groups
placing propositions (initiatives) onto public ballots tend to avoid placing
competing
propositions onto the ballot.
2. Truncation Resistance criterion
Depending on the institution, voters may not be strategically-minded, or
they may feel
constrained in their choice of
strategy due to accountability to constituents. This section
considers
scenarios of this class, specifically the scenarios where voters are expected
not to vote any insincere strict preferences. This is not necessarily
the same as sincere
voting since it also allows expressions of indifference by voters who have sincere
strict
preferences, a voting behavior which might not be based on strategic calculation.
Truncation: a vote of indifference by a voter who has a strict preference.
(In other words, abstention in one or more pairings of alternatives.)
Some examples of truncation:
1. Given a tediously long list of alternatives to order, a voter might rank only some of them.
2. There may be societies (ours included) where
some voters can be induced to express
indifference by exhortations
from their leaders that two less favored alternatives are like
"Tweedledee
and Tweedledum" (i.e., equally bad) when those voters have a preference
for dee over dum but pay attention to their leaders. Perhaps
the leaders would rather
have their supporters vote "dum over dee" as
part of a reversal strategy, but they find
the "dum over dee" reversal strategy
much harder to sell to non-strategic supporters
than the "dum indifferent to dee" truncation strategy.
3. A legislator who represents
constituents who have strong preferences on some issue
may fear her non-strategic constituents would not tolerate a vote which reverses
their
preferences, particularly if she fears a challenger will trumpet this alleged "betrayal"
during her re-election campaign, even when reversal is strategically optimal
for her
constituents' interests. Legislators may be less
fearful of being punished for voting
indifference or abstention than for voting reversal of constituents'
preferences.
The following criterion requires, for a broad class of
scenarios, that when no offensive
strategy (except perhaps truncation) is used by any group, then no defensive strategy
shall be needed:
Truncation Resistance:
If no voter votes any insincere strict preferences,
alternative x is not in the sincere top cycle, and an alternative in the sincere
top
cycle is ranked over x by more than half
of the voters,
then x must not be chosen.
(A more formal wording is provided below.)
The clause about no voter voting any insincere strict
preferences means no voter ranks
any alternative over any that is not sincerely less preferred. Thus if
some voter does not
strictly prefer a over b, yet ranks a
over b, the premise does not hold. If some voter
does prefer a over b, yet ranks
a indifferent to b, she
has truncated her preference for a
over b and this does not
violate the premise.
Here is a more formal wording of the truncation resistance criterion:
Let A denote the finite set of alternatives.
Let SincereTop denote the minimal non-empty B ⊆ A such that, for all b ∈ B
and all a ∈ A\B, the number of voters who sincerely prefer b to a exceeds
the number who sincerely prefer a to b.Say there is no misrepresentation except possibly truncation if and only if,
for all a,b ∈ A, every voter who votes a over b sincerely prefers a to b.If there is no misrepresentation except possibly truncation, then for all x ∈ A,
x must not be chosen if x ∉ SincereTop and at least one alternative in SincereTop
is ranked over x by more than half of the voters.
An equivalent wording of truncation resistance is the following:
Suppose R
and R' are two sets of votes that are the same except some votes
in R' that express indifference regarding some pairs of alternatives may in R
express strict preference regarding those alternatives. Let tc denote the
top
cycle given R. Alternative x must not be chosen given either R or R'
if x ∉ tc
and y ∈
tc and more than half the votes in R' rank y over x.
Truncation resistance is, in a sense, a flip side of minimal
defense. Minimal defense
says that certain expressions of indifference must be
effective as a defensive strategy,
and truncation resistance says that indifference must be so ineffective as an offensive
strategy that no defensive
strategy would be needed to deter or thwart it.
Another value of satisfaction of truncation resistance is that,
even when there are
so many "centrist" candidates (i.e., those in the sincere top
cycle) that many of them
are left unranked by voters who hadn't the time to learn about them
all or by voters
put off by the tediousness of ordering them all, a centrist
candidate will be elected if
at least one of them is ranked by a majority over the
non-centrist candidates (assuming
the supporters of the non-centrists do not attempt a
reversal strategy, in which case
the supporters of the centrist would need to employ
a defensive strategy such as the
minimal defensive strategy described in section
1).
Ossipoff's wording of the truncation resistance criterion was less general, saying that
if no voter votes any insincere strict preferences and a sincere Condorcet winner
is voted
over x by more than half of the voters, then x must not be chosen. It is straightforward to
strengthen
Ossipoff's criterion by replacing the sincere Condorcet winner
with a member
of the sincere top cycle in the wording.
Satisfaction of minimal defense does not guarantee satisfaction of
truncation resistance.
Satisfaction of minimal defense may not be
enough to mitigate failures of truncation
resistance in the subclass of
scenarios being considered. Since the voters in these
scenarios are not strategically minded
or are constrained not to downrank so far that
this would reverse some preferences,
they may not be able to employ the minimal
defensive strategy.
Most voting rules prominent in the literature fail truncation
resistance. Using scenario 1
as an example, suppose x's
supporters truncate their preference for y over z and suppose
the majority who
prefer y to x accurately represent their preferences. Then the votes are
as in the following example:
Example 2: Truncation by x's supporters of their "y over z" preference
46% 10% 10% 34% x y y z x z y z x x
(Assume the "x" votes of the 46% are treated the same as "x over y ~ z.")
Since y is the sincere Condorcet winner and there is no misrepresentation
except truncation and more than half of the voters vote y over x, satisfaction
of truncation resistance requires x must not be chosen.Borda chooses x.
Simpson chooses x.
Copeland (assuming plurality tie-breaker) chooses x.
Instant Runoff (Hare, STV, Alternative Vote) chooses x.
Tideman's "ranked pairs" rule chooses x.
3. Larger Majority criterion
The larger majority criterion is not being promoted as a
normative criterion in its own
right, but it is useful for purposes of analysis since any voting
procedure that satisfies
larger majority and a universal domain criterion also
satisfies minimal defense,
non-drastic defense and truncation resistance.
Before defining two equivalent formal
definitions of larger majority, here is a brief
informal description:
If a majority (not necessarily more than half the voters, due to indifference)
rank some alternative, say y, over alternative x and this majority is not the
smallest majority in any cycle involving y and x, then x must not be chosen.
Two formal definitions of larger majority are now presented, and then their equivalence
is demonstrated. The first definition corresponds to the
informal description above.
The second is defined in terms of "paths" rather
than "cycles."
Let A denote a finite set of two or more alternatives. Let N denote a finite set of
voters {1,2,...,n}. Each voter i ∈ N submits a ranking (non-strict ordering) Ri of
the alternatives in A. Let R denote the collection of voters' orderings.For all x,y ∈ A, let R(x,y) denote the orderings in R which rank x over y. That is,
R(x,y) = {r ∈ R such that r ranks x over y}. Thus #R(x,y) denotes the number
of voters who rank x over y. (Due to the possibility of indifference, the larger
of #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) is not necessarily more than half the voters.)Let Pairs(A) denote the set of all possible ordered pairs of alternatives
{(x,y) such that x ∈ A and y ∈ A}. Where A is clear from the context,
abbreviate Pairs.Let Majorities(A,R) denote {(x,y) ∈ Pairs(A) such that #R(x,y) > #R(y,x)}.
Where A and R are clear from the context, abbreviate Majorities.For all a1,a2,...,ak ∈ A, the sequence a1a2...ak is a majority cycle of (A,R)
if and only if ak = a1 and (aj,aj+1) ∈ Majorities(A,R) for all j ∈ {1,2,...,k-1}.
Let MajorityCycles(A,R) denote the set of all sequences of alternatives in A
which are majority cycles of (A,R). Where A and R are clear from the context,
abbreviate MajorityCycles.For all C ∈ MajorityCycles(A,R) and all (x,y) ∈ Pairs(A), (x,y) is a C-majority
if and only if x immediately precedes y in the sequence C.Let SmallestMajorities(A,R) denote {(x,y) ∈ Majorities(A,R) such that
there exists C ∈ MajorityCycles(A,R) such that (x,y) is a C-majority and
#R(x,y) ≤ #R(z,w) for all C-majorities (z,w)}. Where A and R are clear
from the context, abbreviate SmallestMajorities.Larger Majority: For all x ∈ A, x must not be chosen if there exists y ∈ A
such that (y,x) ∈ Majorities(A,R)\SmallestMajorities(A,R). In other
words, the chosen alternative must be in the set {a ∈ A such that, for all b ∈ A,
(b,a) ∉ Majorities(A,R) or (b,a) ∈ SmallestMajorities(A,R)}. Let LM(A,R)
denote this set. Where A and R are clear from the context, abbreviate LM.
Here is a second, equivalent definition of the LM
set and the larger majority criterion,
expressed in terms of "paths" rather than
cycles:
Refer to the definitions above.
Paths: For all a1,a2,...,ak ∈ A, the sequence a1a2...ak is a path from a1 to ak
if and only if (aj,aj+1) ∈ Majorities(A,R) for all j ∈ {1,2,...,k-1}.Path Strength: The strength of a path a1a2...ak is the minimum of #R(aj,aj+1)
over j ∈ {1,2,...,k-1}. (In other words, the strength of a path is the size of its
smallest majority, where the size of any majority is measured by the size of its
supporting coalition.)Strongest Path matrix: Let SPM(A,R) denote the matrix such that,
for all x,y ∈ A, SPMxy(A,R) is the strength of the strongest path from x
to y if there is at least one path from x to y, and SPMxy(A,R) = 0 if there
is no path from x to y. Where A and R are clear from the context,
abbreviate SPM and SPMxy.Larger Majority (2): For all x ∈ A, x must not be chosen if there exists
y ∈ A such that [#R(y,x) > #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) > SPMxy]. In other words,
the chosen alternative must be in the set {a ∈ A such that, for all b ∈ A,
#R(b,a) ≤ max(#R(a,b),SPMab)}. Let LM(A,R) denote this set.
Where A and R are clear from the context, abbreviate LM.
The equivalence of the two formal wordings of larger majority can be easily shown.
Note that if #R(y,x) > #R(x,y),
then the concatenation of x to the end of a path
from x to y
is a majority cycle in which y immediately precedes x. By inspection of the definitions,
it follows that (y,x) ∈ SmallestMajorities
if and only if #R(y,x) > #R(x,y) and
#R(y,x)
≤ SPMxy. From this it follows that the two definitions of the
LM set are
equivalent and the two wordings of larger majority are
equivalent.
The LM set is always a non-empty subset of the top cycle, denoted here by τ:
Top Cycle: τ(A,R) is the minimal non-empty B ⊆ A such that #R(b,a) > #R(a,b)
for all b ∈ B and all a ∈ A\B.)(The sincere top cycle is defined similarly, but depends upon the voters' sincere
orders of preference instead of upon their votes.)
The Appendix provides a proof that LM is a non-empty subset of the top cycle.
It is easy to show that if a voting procedure satisfies larger majority and
admits all
non-strict orderings of the alternatives, then it satisfies minimal defense, non-drastic
defense and truncation resistance:
To show satisfaction of minimal defense, assume more than half of
the voters rank x
no better than tied for bottom and more than half of the voters rank y over x. Clearly
#R(y,x) > #R(x,y).
Since x is ranked better than tied for bottom by fewer than half
of the voters, all paths
from x have strengths less than half of the voters.
Since y is
ranked over x by more than half the voters, #R(y,x)
is greater than half the voters.
Therefore #R(y,x) > SPMxy.
Since #R(y,x)
> #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) > SPMxy,
x cannot be in LM(A,R) and
thus minimal defense is satisfied.
To show satisfaction of non-drastic defense, assume more than
half the voters rank
y no worse than tied for top and
more
than half the voters rank y over x. Clearly
#R(y,x) > #R(x,y).
Since y is ranked worse than tied for top by fewer than half
the voters, all paths to y have strengths less than half
of the voters. Since y is ranked
over x by more than half the voters, #R(y,x)
is greater than half of the voters.
Thus #R(y,x) > SPMxy.
Since #R(y,x)
> #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) > SPMxy,
x cannot be in LM(A,R)
and non-drastic defense is satisfied.
To show satisfaction of truncation resistance, let S denote the
alternatives in the sincere
top cycle and let X denote the alternatives outside the
sincere top cycle. (X = A\S.)
Assume x ∈
X, that at least one alternative y ∈
S
is ranked over x by more than half
of the voters, and that no voter ranks
any alternative over one that isn't less preferred.
Clearly #R(y,x)
> #R(x,y). By the definition of the sincere top cycle, fewer than half
of the voters
prefer any alternative in X over any alternative in S. Thus for all b
∈ X
and all a ∈
S, SPMba must be less than
half the voters. Thus #R(y,x) > SPMxy.
Since #R(y,x)
> #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) > SPMxy(A,R),
x cannot be in LM(A,R) and
truncation resistance is satisfied.
If a voting rule satisfies larger majority, a majority
desiring to defeat x may not need
to
downrank x as far as tied for bottom. They only need to downrank
x far
enough that they
do not rank x over any alternative that may cycle with an alternative they
rank over x.
A 3-candidate example has too few candidates to illustrate this distinction, but we can
imagine some voters having "y over x over z over w" preferences who perceive that
z
but not w may cycle with y, and can defeat x by voting "y over x
~ z over w". If in doubt
about whether w may cycle with y, however, due either
to uncertain information about
others' preferences or out of concern that
some group of voters may attempt an offensive
strategy causing w to cycle with y, the safer defensive strategy to
ensure defeat of x is
"y over x ~ z ~ w".
4. Voting rules that satisfy the criteria
Sections 4.2 and 4.3 define two voting rules
that satisfy minimal defense, non-drastic
defense, truncation resistance, larger majority,
and other desirable criteria such as
anonymity, neutrality, strong Pareto, monotonicity, resolvability,
Condorcet-
consistency, top cycle, independence of clone alternatives, etc.
4.1 The "Minimax(Defeat)" voting rule
Before describing voting rules satisfying all the criteria listed
above, it is useful to first
describe a variation of the Minimax voting rule in order
to more clearly illustrate the
principles involved in satisfaction of minimal defense, non-drastic
defense, truncation
resistance and larger majority when there are at most three
alternatives:
Refer to the definitions above.
For all x ∈ A such that #R(y,x) > #R(x,y) for at least one y ∈ A,
let LargestDefeat(x,A,R) denote the maximum of #R(y,x) over {y ∈ A
such that #R(y,x) > #R(x,y)}. For all x ∈ A such that #R(y,x) ≤ #R(x,y)
for all y ∈ A, let LargestDefeat(x,A,R) = 0.Minimax(Defeat) voting rule: Allow the voters to order the alternatives and
to express indifference in their orderings. Choose the alternative(s) {a ∈ A such
that LargestDefeat(a,A,R) ≤ LargestDefeat(b,A,R) for all b ∈ A}.
Note that each alternative's "largest defeat" score
depends on the size of an opponent's
supporting coalition (e.g., #R(y,x)), not on a margin
of defeat (e.g., #R(y,x) - #R(x,y)).
This distinction is vital. Also
note that an alternative's largest defeat depends only on
the pairings in which
it is beaten, not on pairings it wins or ties. This is not as vital but
adds robustness when the sizes of some of a sincere Condorcet winner's majorities
are less
than half the voters. Assuming no voter expresses indifference, these distinctions
would not matter and any Minimax rule would choose the same. (And given
three or fewer
alternatives, Maximin and Minimax would choose the same.) But the assumption that no
voter expresses indifference should not be made. Even if it is reasonable to assume
all
voters have strict preferences over all alternatives -- a common simplifying assumption
in the social choice literature -- the arguments in the preceding sections indicate that
permitting strategic expressions of indifference may be useful for voters and benevolent
for society.
Since each candidate's largest defeat depends on the size of an
opponent's supporting
coalition, no voting strategy for a candidate's supporters can reduce
the sizes of their
candidate's defeats. In scenario 1, x's
score will be 54% if the voters who prefer y to x
either vote sincerely or
employ the minimal defensive strategy to defeat x. There are
two
strategies which x's supporters may consider: (1) they can truncate their
"y over z"
preference by voting "x over y ~ z" or (2) they can
reverse their "y over z" preference
by voting "x over z over y". Under Minimax(Defeat), the first strategy cannot elect
x
since it cannot
raise y's largest defeat to be as large as x's largest defeat. But if
the sizes
of majorities were measured by margin, as is often done in the social
choice literature,
the truncation strategy could elect x. The second strategy will backfire if the 10% having
"y over x over z" preferences employ the minimal defensive strategy,
because the minimal
defensive strategy potentially reduces z's largest defeat to
less than half the voters, and
that potential is realized if x's supporters proceed with their reversal scheme. But if
defeat size
were measured by margin, the reversal strategy could elect x. Thus, if defeat
size is measured by the size of the winning coalition and not by margin, the
best response
for x's supporters, facing the minimal defensive strategy, is to vote
sincerely. Similarly,
the 10% who have "y over z over x" preferences can make sincere voting the best
response for
z's supporters by voting "y over z ~ x."
The Minimax(Defeat) rule fails minimal
defense and truncation resistance when there
are more than three alternatives, for the same
reason that it (and other Minimax and
Maximin rules) fail top cycle, Condorcet loser, and independence from
clones:
adding two alternatives similar to the Condorcet winner can create a "vicious" cycle
amongst those three similar alternatives that causes the defeat of all three
under Minimax
and Maximin rules:
Example 4.1: 4-alternative failure of Minimax(Defeat)
| 20% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| x | y | z | w | w | w |
| y | z | x | x | y | z |
| z | x | y | y | z | x |
| w | w | w | z | x | y |
Alternative w is a Condorcet
loser, yet Minimax chooses w. Since the majority (60%)
who want to defeat w already rank w bottom, they have no strategy
allowed by the
minimal defense criterion that will defeat w. Thus Minimax fails
minimal defense.
Assuming the votes are sincere representations of preferences, w is not
in the
sincere top cycle but is not defeated, so Minimax fails truncation
resistance.
Minimax(Defeat) might be considered a
reasonably practical voting rule even with more
than three alternatives, since cycles among top candidates would be expected to
be less
vicious than the 66%-67%-67% cycle in the example, but there are
rules that are more
robust, completely satisfying these criteria plus those listed at the
beginning of section 4.
Two
such voting rules are presented in the next two sections.
4.2 The "Maximize Affirmed Majorities" (MAM) procedure
This section briefly describes the MAM
procedure, which satisfies all the criteria listed
at the beginning of section 4. For more information and details, see the documents
"MAM
procedure definition" and "A
mathematically formal definition of MAM."
MAM is an implementation of a terse suggestion
written by the Marquis de Condorcet
in the introduction of his seminal 1785
essay on election theory:
... take successively all
the propositions that have a majority, beginning
with those possessing the
largest. As soon as these first propositions
produce a result, it should be
taken as the decision, without regard for
the less probable decisions that follow.
-- Marquis de Condorcet, "Essay on the Application of
Mathematics to
the Theory of Decision-Making" [1785], page lxviii (as
translated by Keith
Michael Baker in "Condorcet: From Natural Philosophy to Social
Mathematics"
[1975], p.240, Chicago University Press)
MAM constructs an acyclic subset of Majorities(A,R)
by starting with an empty subset and
considering the majorities one at a time in order of precedence (i.e., from
largest to smallest,
where size is measured by the number of voters who ranked the
pairing's winner over the
pairing's loser): If a majority under consideration does not cycle with those already included
into the
subset,
then it too is included ("affirmed") into the subset. Since the
final subset is
acyclic by construction, there must
exist at least one alternative that is not the pairwise
loser of any majority in the
subset. MAM chooses such an alternative.
An omitted detail is how MAM orders the majorities
largest to smallest in the ambiguous
case where two or more majorities have the same size. Another omitted
detail is which
alternative is chosen in the ambiguous case where two or more alternatives
are not the
pairwise loser of any
majority in the
acyclic subset. These details are important for
complete satisfaction of other criteria (monotonicity, independence of
clones, etc.)
but are not relevant for satisfaction of minimal defense,
non-drastic defense, truncation
resistance or larger majority. Thus the following is an incomplete definition of MAM
but suffices to show MAM satisfies the criteria that concern us here:
Pair Precedence:
For all x,y,z,w
∈ A, if #R(x,y)
> #R(z,w) then (x,y) precedes
(z,w) and (z,w) does not precede (x,y). (Note the ambiguity
if #R(x,y) = #R(z,w).
This ambiguity
is eliminated in the complete definition of MAM showing precedence
is a strict ordering of the majorities, but for our purposes that detail is unimportant.)
Majority Cycles:
For all M ⊆
Majorities(A,R) and all (x,y) ∈ Majorities(A,R),
(x,y)
cycles with M if and only if there exist (a1,a2),(a2,a3),...,(ak-1,ak)
∈ M such
that a1 = y and ak =
x.
Let AffirmedMajorities(A,R)
denote {(x,y) ∈ Majorities(A,R) such that (x,y)
does
not cycle with {(z,w) ∈ AffirmedMajorities(A,R) such
that (z,w) precedes (x,y)}}.
(Note that AffirmedMajorities() is defined recursively but not
circularly. It can be
computed quickly by considering the majorities one at a time in order of precedence.)
MAM chooses an
alternative that is not second in any pair in AffirmedMajorities(A,R).
(The complete definition of MAM resolves the ambiguity when there are two or
more
such alternatives,
but for our purposes that detail is unimportant.)
For complete proofs that MAM satisfies minimal defense, non-drastic
defense, truncation resistance, and larger majority, see the document "Proof
MAM satisfies Minimal Defense
and Truncation Resistance."
Here is a sketch of the proof that MAM satisfies larger majority criterion:
Assume (y,x) ∈
Majorities\SmallestMajorities. We
must show MAM cannot
choose x. Suppose the contrary. This implies (y,x) ∉
AffirmedMajorities.
Let Affyx+ denote {(z,w) ∈
AffirmedMajorities such that (z,w) precedes (y,x)}.
Since (y,x) ∈ Majorities\AffirmedMajorities,
(y,x)
must cycle with Affyx+.
This means there exist (a1,a2),(a2,a3),...,(ak-1,ak)
∈ Affyx+ such that a1
= x
and ak = y. Let s denote
the sequence a1a2a3...akx.
By inspection, s is
a
majority cycle in which y immediately precedes x. Thus (y,x) is an
s-majority
and (aj,aj+1)
is an s-majority for all j ∈
{1,2,...,k-1}. Since every pair in Affyx+
precedes (y,x), this implies
#R(y,x) ≤ #R(aj,aj+1) for all j ∈ {1,2,...,k-1}.
But this implies (y,x) ∈
SmallestMajorities, contradicting the assumption that
(y,x) ∉
SmallestMajorities. This contradiction
refutes the contrary assumption,
which implies MAM cannot choose x. QED
Since MAM satisfies larger majority and permits voters to vote
any orderings of the
alternatives, it follows that
MAM also satisfies minimal defense, non-drastic defense
and truncation resistance.
4.3 The "PathWinner" voting rule
Here is another voting rule that satisfies all the criteria listed at the beginning of section 4:
PathWinner: Refer to the definitions above. Allow the voters to order the
alternatives and to express indifference in their orderings. Choose an alternative
in the "PathWinner" set {x ∈ A such that SPMxy ≥ SPMyx for all y ∈ A}.
(If there is more than one such alternative, the one ranked over the others
by a strict ordering constructed by the Random Voter Hierarchy tiebreak
procedure is chosen, but for our purposes here that detail is unimportant.)
PathWinner was described in the internet maillist election-methods-list@eskimo.com
by Markus Schulze.
Schulze did not propose a name for the rule nor credit
anyone
for its invention; presumably it is his invention.
The PathWinner set is a non-empty subset of LM(A,R). (This
is proved in the Appendix.)
Thus PathWinner satisfies larger majority. Since PathWinner permits voters to
express
non-strict orderings, it follows immediately
that PathWinner satisfies minimal defense,
non-drastic defense and truncation resistance. Like MAM, PathWinner has an
algorithm that executes
in small
polynomial time, provided elsewhere.
A nice property of the PathWinner rule is that, for most of the
criteria it satisfies, it is
fairly easy to prove satisfaction. For instance,
monotonicity follows from the fact
that when an alternative x is raised in some voters' orderings, no path from
x is
weakened and
no path to x is strengthened.
Nevertheless, MAM may be preferable to PathWinner for a couple of reasons:
1. MAM (but not PathWinner) satisfies immunity from majority complaints (IMC),
immunity from second-place complaints (I2C) and other criteria described in the
document Immunity from Majority
Complaints, and also satisfies Peyton Young's
criterion local independence of irrelevant alternatives (LIIA).
2. Computer simulations using randomly generated profiles of voters' orderings suggest
the alternative chosen by MAM will beat pairwise the alternative chosen by PathWinner
more often than vice versa, and that
over the long run more voters will prefer MAM
winners over PathWinner winners than vice
versa. For more information, see
"Comparisons of the MAM and PathWinner voting rules."
4.4 Filters for other voting rules
The minimal defense criterion or the
larger majority
criterion could
be adapted into
filters for other voting rules. For instance:
Let MD(A,R) denote {a ∈ A such that [a is not ranked (tied for) bottom by more
than half the voters] or [#R(b,a) is at most half the voters for all b ∈ A]}.Borda with Minimal Defense Filter: Allow the voters to vote any orderings of
the alternatives. Choose the alternative in MD(A,R) having the best Borda score.
Borda with Larger Majority Filter: Allow the voters to vote any orderings of
the alternatives. Choose the alternative in LM(A,R) having the best Borda score.
The "Borda with Minimal Defense
Filter" rule fails truncation resistance, choosing x
in the example in
section 3. The "Borda with Larger Majority Filter" rule satisfies both
minimal defense and truncation resistance.
Using a filter to shrink the choosable
set of alternatives is less robust, as described by
Tideman [1987] in his discussion of independence of
clones, and may cost compliance
with
other desirable criteria such as monotonicity, independence of
clones, etc.
For instance, the following example shows "Borda with
Larger Majority Filter" is
not monotonic:
Example 4.2: "Borda with Larger Majority
Filter" is not monotonic.
15 voters rank five alternatives {a,b,c,d,e} as
follows:
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| a | a | a | b | b | c | c | c | d | d |
| e | c | e | c | e | a | b | d | a | b |
| b | b | d | d | d | e | d | a | b | c |
| d | e | b | a | c | b | a | b | e | a |
| c | d | c | e | a | d | e | e | c | e |
The alternatives' Borda
scores are:
a: 4×4 + 3×4
+ 2×1 + 1×5 = 35
b: 4×2 + 3×4
+ 2×4 + 1×5 = 33
c: 4×5 + 3×2
+ 2×2 + 1×1 = 31
d: 4×4 + 3×1
+ 2×6 + 1×1 = 32
e: 4×0 + 3×4
+ 2×2 + 1×3 = 19
The ten pairwise
majorities are:
a over e (14 voters)
b over e (10 voters)
a over b (9 voters)
b over c (9 voters)
c over a (9 voters)
d over a (9 voters)
c over e (9 voters)
b over d (8 voters)
d over c (8 voters)
d over e (8 voters)
Thus Majorities = {(a,e),(b,e),(a,b),(b,c),(c,a),(d,a),(c,e),(b,d),(d,c),(d,e)}.
It can be checked that SmallestMajorities
= {(a,b),(b,c),(c,a),(b,d),(d,c)}.
Thus Majorities\SmallestMajorities
= {(a,e),(b,e),(d,a),(c,e),(d,e)}.
Since a and e are the only alternatives which are second in any
pairs
in Majorities\SmallestMajorities,
it follows that LM = {b,c,d}.
Since b is the alternative in LM having the
largest Borda score,
"Borda with Larger Majority Filter" chooses b.
Now suppose one of the
four voters who ranked d immediately over b had
instead ranked b over d. Then the "b over d"
majority would be 9 voters
instead of 8. It follows that (d,a) would also be in SmallestMajorities,
and LM would be {a,b,c,d}, and "Borda with
Larger Majority Filter"
would choose a since b's Borda score would have increased only to
34.
Since b is not still chosen when b is upranked, this implies
"Borda with
Larger Majority Filter" is not monotonic.
5. Conclusions
Satisfaction of minimal defense and
truncation resistance makes it easier for a voting
majority to coordinate voting strategies and thus makes nomination strategies
(and
partisan primary elections) less important. Lacking satisfaction, in order
to defeat a less
preferred "greater evil" alternative, the majority may need to rank a
compromise alternative
equal to or over favored alternatives. This they are reluctant to do,
particularly when
they lack accurate information about voters' preferences. Three negative
consequences
of non-satisfaction are:
1. Understatement of the support for
some alternatives when their supporters
are forced to compromise, which may deter reconsideration and greater
popularity of those alternatives in
the future due to misperception of the
degree of their unpopularity.
2. Election of "less popular"
alternatives when voters compromise further than
needed or not far enough due to inaccurate information about other
voters'
preferences and strategies.
3. Formation and
maintenance of two "big tent" parties (plus "sure-loser"
third
parties) which each nominate only one alternative per office, since
the parties
cannot rely on all their supporters to properly compromise.
Minimal defense and truncation
resistance are compatible with many desirable criteria.
It is possible to simultaneously satisfy Condorcet-consistency, top
cycle, strong Pareto,
monotonicity, anonymity, neutrality, local independence of
irrelevant alternatives,
independence of clone alternatives, immunity from majority complaints, and
other
criteria. Some exceptions are reinforcement and participation (satisfied by the Borda
procedure) and uncompromising
(satisfied by Instant Runoff and Minimax), which seem
much less important. Reinforcement requires
that if x is chosen by each partition of some
partitioning of
the voters, then x must be chosen when all votes are tallied together. But
it
is easy to design the institutional rules to prevent a minority from controlling how or
whether voters are partitioned, so it is simple to prevent failure of reinforcement from
being exploited by a minority. Participation requires that abstention never be a
better
strategy than sincere voting for any voter. But a voter who knows she may
gain by
abstaining has the information needed to vote strategically, so it is
a false dichotomy to
consider only abstention and sincere voting. Uncompromising, another
form of
resistance to truncation, requires that if a
voter's favorite alternative is elected when
the voter ranks all other alternatives
below it and tied for bottom then that alternative
must still be elected if instead the voter raises some (compromise) alternative above
bottom (but still below the favorite). Occasional violations of uncompromising seems
a small price to pay for satisfaction of the
other desirable criteria.
Voting procedures such as MAM that satisfy
minimal defense, truncation resistance,
Condorcet-consistency, etc., are practical now that the technological advances
of the past
few decades permit use of machine-readable ballots or computer interfaces for
voting,
obsoleting old claims of impracticality in the social choice literature. For instance, optical
scanning technology is already widely used in large public
elections and would permit
voters to order the candidates. Even if space on the
optically-scanned ballot is insufficient
to allow the voter to strictly order a large number of
candidates, it would nevertheless be
a significant improvement if there is at least enough space
to allow the voter to express
trichotomous preferences (i.e., indicate which
alternatives are best, which are compromises,
and which are worst). Even in the worst case,
where space only permits the voter to select
one candidate, each candidate could publish an ordering of all candidates prior
to election
day and each vote could be treated as though it were the ordering published by the
voter's
selected
candidate.
Two more arguments to support
practicality are that (1) even children can order
alternatives
from best to worst, given a reasonable interface, and (2) the
algorithm to tally the election
executes in a time which in the worst case is a small polynomial
function of the number of
voters and number of alternatives.
Voting procedures such as MAM are useful
for almost any (democratic) group decision,
from small committees to large public elections. In small groups
such as committees,
multistage voting procedures (e.g., the Successive Elimination
pairwise agenda procedure
defined by Robert's Rules of Order) are also feasible, but since
agenda control can be
exploited to manipulate outcomes, an agendaless procedure such as
MAM may be more
desirable. For instance, a reasonable variation of MAM for
committees would be the
following: As alternatives are proposed they are
automatically appended to the bottom
of each voter's ordering. Each voter is allowed to freely
edit her ordering. When no one
wishes to propose any more alternatives, the tally of the votes is
finalized.
Voting procedures such as MAM may also
be compatible with the Electoral College system
used in the United States' presidential elections. However, fragmentation
of the Electoral
College delegates' votes among more than two candidates could send the decision
to the
House of Representatives. Thus, to persuade parties to nominate more than
one candidate
apiece the system would need to allow candidates to withdraw from contention
after the
public's votes are cast and a summary of the votes published.
Voting procedures such as MAM can also
enhance proportional
representation systems.
For instance, each voter could be allowed to order the parties, which would
allow seats
to be awarded proportionally (if desired) yet also allow a "best compromise" party to be
identified and rewarded with agenda control (and possibly also rewarded with extra
seats).
Appendix: Proof that LM(A,R) is a non-empty subset of the top cycle
In section 3 it was claimed LM(A,R)
is a non-empty subset of the top cycle τ(A,R).
To show
this,
we first show LM(A,R) ⊆ τ(A,R)
and then show LM(A,R) cannot
be empty. Since A
and R are held fixed here,
abbreviate LM = LM(A,R),
τ = τ(A,R) and
Sxy = SPMxy(A,R)
for
all
x,y ∈
A.
To show LM ⊆
τ means showing x ∉
LM for for all x ∈
A\τ. Assume x ∈
A\τ.
This means there exists y ∈
τ such that #R(y,x) > #R(x,y) and there
is
no path from x to y.
Thus Sxy = 0 and #R(y,x) >
Sxy. Since #R(y,x)
> #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) > Sxy,
this implies
x ∉
LM. Thus LM ⊆ τ. It
remains to show LM is not
empty. Make the following definitions:
Let S(A,R) denote the binary relation
defined over A such that,
for all x,y ∈
A,
xS(A,R)y if
and
only if Sxy > Syx.
Let ψ(A,R)
denote {x ∈ A such that yS(A,R)x for
no y ∈
A}. (Note that
this is the PathWinner set defined in section 4.3.)
Since A and R are held
fixed here, abbreviate
S = S(A,R) and ψ = ψ(A,R). We will show
that LM cannot be empty by
showing ψ
is a non-empty subset of LM. Clearly
xy is a path
from x to y for
all x,y ∈ A such
that #R(x,y) > #R(y,x). Thus
the following statement must
hold:
(A1) Sxy ≥ #R(x,y) for all x,y ∈ A such that #R(x,y) > #R(y,x).
Also, for all x,y,z ∈ A, the
concatenation of a path y...z to the end of a path x...y (deleting
one of the two consecutive y's, of course) is itself
a path from x
to z having strength equal
to the minimum of the strengths
of x...y and y...z. Thus the following statement must hold:
(A2) Sxz ≥ min(Sxy,Syz) for all x,y,z ∈ A.
To show ψ ⊆ LM
we will show x ∉ ψ for all
x ∈
A\LM. Assume x ∈
A\LM. This implies
there exists y ∈
A such that #R(y,x) > #R(x,y) and #R(y,x) >
Sxy. By A1.1, Syx ≥ #R(y,x).
Combining inequalities we have Syx > Sxy
which implies ySx. Thus x ∉ ψ, establishing
ψ ⊆
LM.
To show ψ cannot be empty, we will first show S
is irreflexive, asymmetric
and strictly transitive. That is, we will establish the following three propositions:
(A3) [not xSx]
for all x ∈ A. (irreflexivity)
(A4) xSy
implies [not ySx] for all x,y ∈ A.
(asymmetry)
(A5) [xSy and ySz] implies xSz
for all x,y,z ∈
A. (strict transitivity)
Clearly Sxx = Sxx
for all x ∈ A, which implies
[not Sxx > Sxx] for all x ∈ A, which implies
A3, meaning S is irreflexive. To show S
is asymmetric, assume xSy. This means
Sxy > Syx, implying [not Syx
> Sxy], implying [not ySx]. Thus S
is asymmetric. To
show
S
is strictly transitive, assume xSy and ySz.
This means
Sxy
> Syx and Syz
> Szy.
By A2, Syx
≥ min(Syz,Szx) and Szy
≥ min(Szx,Sxy). Combining these four inequalities,
we produce the following inequality:
(A6) Sxy > Syx ≥ min(Syz,Szx) ≥ min(Szy,Szx) ≥ min(min(Szx,Sxy),Szx)
which implies Sxy > Szx. Combining again, we produce the following inequality:
(A7) Syz > Szy ≥ min(Szx,Sxy) ≥ min(Szx,Szx) = Szx
By A2, Sxz ≥ min(Sxy,Syz). Combining inequalities, we produce the following inequality:
(A8) Sxz ≥ min(Sxy,Syz) > min(Szx,Szx) = Szx
which implies xSz. Thus S
is strictly transitive. We now show ψ is not
empty. Suppose
the contrary. This implies that for all x ∈
A there exists y ∈
A such that ySx. This
implies
it is possible to construct an arbitrarily long
sequence a1a2...ak
such that a1,a2,...,ak ∈
A
and aj+1Saj
for all j ∈
{1,...,k-1}. Since the sequence is arbitrarily long and A is finite,
we can construct the
sequence so k > #A. This means at least one
alternative must appear
at least twice in the sequence. Thus we can
let p and q denote
two distinct indices of
some alternative that appears at least twice in the sequence, where 1 ≤ p < q ≤
k.
Thus ap = aq.
Since S is irreflexive, q ≠ p+1. Since
S
is asymmetric, q ≠ p+2.
Since S is strictly transitive and irreflexive, by induction q < p+3. But these
constraints on p and q
are mutually contradictory, refuting the contrary assumption
and thereby establishing ψ is not empty.
Having established ψ is a non-empty subset
of LM, this implies LM is not
empty. Thus it has been established that LM(A,R)
is a
non-empty subset
of τ(A,R). The result can be summarized as
φ ≠
ψ ⊆ LM
⊆ τ.
QED
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